Cotto!

Boxing's dry spell is over. This weekend offers the biggest fight since Hatton-Pacquiao, and Miguel Cotto's biggest challenge since Margarito: Josh Clottey. I think the question is whether Clottey can hurt Cotto. If the fight goes the distance and the decision is a test of the work rates of the respective fighters, Cotto's got it. But if Clottey can get to him early and put him on the defensive, he has a pretty good chance of building up a big lead, maybe even scoring a knockout. Cotto's game plan has to be the same as for the Margarito fight in the early going: lots of movement, and then, suddenly, lots of combinations. I don't think Cotto will be as dominant as he was in the first half of the Margarito fight, but that seems like the proper strategy early. Given Clottey's tendency to fade down the stretch, Cotto will be able to stand his ground a little more in the later rounds, work the body, and hopefully open up a lead. I see it as a unanimous decision, with scores of around 115-113 or 116-112.

On the undercard, Iván Calderón wins a decision, Matvey Korobov a knockout. In other fights this weekend, Robert Guerrero gets back in the winner's circle with a knockout of Efren Hinojosa.

And from the "They're still at it?!" department, Clarence "Bones" Adams and Diosbelys Hurtado both fight this weekend.

Gancho is 44-14 on the year.