Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Mexico City Polling

Not a huge surprise, but the PRD is on top in Mexico City, polling at 42 percent, compared to 26 for the PAN. This represents a three-point drop in the capital for the PAN from February, which comes from a slight increase in support for smaller parties like the PT and the PSD. The PRI remains, as ever, in third place, with 18 percent.

More than half the respondents singled out insecurity as their chief worry (echoing voters in Torreón, and surely elsewhere), despite the worst economic crisis in Mexico in at least a decade and a half, and maybe since the Great Depression. Less than 30 percent said that an economic issue (either unemployment, poverty, or the crisis) topped their list of personal worries. This strikes me as odd, because Mitofsky always shows economic issues as worrying voters far more than security (in the last two years, economic issues have never outscored security issues by less than 19.8 points as the primary issue for voters). Either this reflects an important difference in the way the question is phrased, or the picture is far different in the countryside and in cities safer that Torreón and DF.

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