Monday, April 25, 2011
Wrongfooting the Predictions?
Various political blocs in the Congress are promising to pass political and security reforms this week. This would seem to disprove the theory that nothing historically important happens in the last couple of years of a Mexican presidency, but then again, every piece of legislation in Mexico gets tabbed a reform, but that doesn't make them all the equivalent of the Affordable Care Act. I'd still be surprised if there is any major change to Mexico's political system. As far as the security reform, it's supposed to establish a legal framework for the army's participation in domestic police work, which is to say, it's codifying the status quo. I'll be interested to see how it all comes out, of course, but I don't think this week will remake Mexico.