Not a Close Race

According to Milenio, Eruviel Ávila enjoys a 30-point lead over his PAN and PRD adversaries: Ávila has 47.7 percent of voter support, Alejandro Encinas 15.8 percent, and Luis Felipe Bravo Mena just 14.4 percent. Assuming this is not a horribly anomalous poll, absent the sudden reincarnation of Benito Juárez as a PAN-PRD alliance candidate or some Jack Ryan-type skeleton in Ávila's closet, it's hard to see him losing this one. And the alliance probably wouldn't have made much of a difference.