Monday, November 16, 2009

Scanning for Presidential Candidates

Zuckermann eyes the field:
In the PRI, those polled agree that there is a very high chance that the candidacy will be disputed by four figures: Enrique Peña Nieto, Manlio Fabio Beltrones, Beatriz Paredes, and some other governor though it looks like Fidel Herrera seems to be the name that is heard most often. That's the PRI's hand.

The pollsters also agree that Peña Nieto is the leader of the four, with all of the advantages and disadvantages that come with that.

On the Mexican left, the names are López Obrador and Marcelo Ebrard. Everyone around agrees that the only option for the PRD, the PT, and Convergencia is to launch a unity candidate because, if they are divided, there is a great probability that they will lose.

The question is if they will manage to unite. In this, the opinions were divided. Beltrán and Campos think, for example, that Andrés Manuel López Obrador will run, whatever happens. Buendía, Abundis, and I think that the coin is still in the air.

The PAN is the party that generates the most questions and, therefore, produces the most names. It's a long list where the governors of Jalisco and Guanajuato, Emilio González and Manuel Oliva, respectively, appear.

You can also find Senator Santiago Creel and Deputy Josefina Vázquez Mota.

Cabinet secretaries from Social Development (Ernesto Cordero), Public Education (Alonso Lujambio), Interior (Fernando Gómez Mont) and Labor (Javier Lozano) could also aspire to the PAN candidacy.

The pollsters say that all of those names are unknown among the public (as Calderón was six years ago), except for Creel and Vázquez Mota.

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