Disapproval of Felipe Calderón's term in office is growing, according to polling from El Universal. The average grade (from 1 to 10) from Mexicans slipped to 6.56 in November, down from 6.71 in September and 7.04 in March. The number of Mexicans who "reject" Calderón's tenure leapt from less than a quarter in March to 37 percent this month, while those who say the country is on the wrong track went from 36 to 49 percent. Mexicans who say Calderón has done less than what they expected of him jumped from 45 to 56 percent over the same time period. And on and on it goes.
The decline has been building for several months, which makes sense. But the thing is, the circumstances in March were in many ways worse than they were in November. A small dip in the first few months of the year notwithstanding, violence in March was close to as bad as it is now. The numbers for the economy coming out in the first quarter were far worse than those today, and the light at the end of the tunnel was farther away. One wonders if, after a natural lag time of a few months, Calderón's numbers will be begin to bounce back, or if this is a semi-permanent shift.
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