Monday, January 31, 2011

Lessons from and Winners in Guerrero

Bajo Reserva:
Guerrero left behind various lessons for the Mexican political class. The virtual winner of the process, the alliance candidate Ángel Heladio Aguirre Rivero, was an inconsistent candidate, with a debatable path, the product of the same system that he now offers to combat, something that shall be seen. The outgoing governor, Zeferino Torreblanca, is one of the worst governors the state has seen, which is saying something; a figure who allowed the principal indicators of health, security, and well-being of his constituents to plummet. Was it therefore not a contest between local figures, but rather a battle of gladiators, between Marcelo Ebrard and Enrique Peña Nieto, where the first has scored a victory, while the other a defeat? Not so fast, perhaps.
This is an election with many clear winners - Aguirre, Jesús Ortega, Marcelo Ebrard, campaign chief Jésus Zambrano, DIA coordinator Manuel Camacho, etc - and many losers - Beatriz Paredes, Enrique Peña Nieto, Manlio Fabio Beltrones, Fernando Castro Trenti, and, to be sure, the new president-elect of the PRI, Humberto Moreira.

Yet lest we forget: Despite dire warnings, grounded in real events, of election violence, there were few major disturbances on election day - no murders of campaign activists or violence against voters. Whatever one think of the election results and the candidates: One clear winner is Guerrero democracy.

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