The point about Ebrard needing to maintain some semblance of peace with AMLO in order to govern is a point that David Agren has made on a number of occasions. With 2012 fast approaching, it seems like the distance between the two (to use JFM's phrase) will inevitably grow more, so it'll be interesting to see how AMLO's proxies in Mexico City respond.The first and most important is the everyday more evident distance between López and Marcelo Ebrard. Despite the fact that the most recent polls demonstrate that the mayor surpasses the acceptance of his predecessor, the weight of the latter in the PRD is undeniable. But that distance isn't due only to 2012, it's evident that it stems from the political lines that both follow.The problem is that López continues with his operators in the Mexico City government and Ebrard, in that sense, seems surrounded by his internal adversary. The best example was when the Social Left, the current that in the PRD is directed by Martí Batres, the powerful secretary of social development in the capital government, was the one who boycotted the presence of Ebrard in Oaxtepec, praising López Obrador. What is Batres doing in the cabinet of someone whom he doesn't support? It makes no sense, but one thing is clear: Martí doesn't answer to his governmental boss but rather his political boss.The Iztapalapa case confirms this confrontation. That the same Sunday José Ángel Ávila, secretary of government of Mexico City, said he didn't see ungovernability destroys destroys the principal argument of López Obrador to take down Juanito.
Tuesday, December 8, 2009
JMF on AMLO-MEC and the PRD
Dreaming of an alternative universe in which I was working in the Pentagon, I went a little acronym happy on that title; the title should be, Jorge Fernández Menénez on Andrés Manuel López Obrador-Marcelo Ebrard Causubon and the Party of the Democratic Revolution. Anyway, here's the snippet: