Interpreting Cordero

The common interpretation of the naming of Ernesto Cordero as Agustín Carstens' replacement is that he has been unveiled as the favored presidential candidate of Felipe Calderón. That of course doesn't make him a shoe-in; Calderón himself was famously not Fox's pick. Here's a piece from Emilio Rabasa, here's the El Universal editorial, and here's Leo Zuckermann:

Ernesto Cordero replaced Juan Camilo Mouriño as the closest man to the president when the then secretary of the interior died in a plane crash on November 4, 2008. Yesterday, Felipe Calderón named Cordero finance secretary and, with that designation, positioned him as the political favorite of Los Pinos to be the PAN's presidential candidate.