Evidence arguing against the likelihood of the PRD losing its position of preeminence among Mexican leftists to the PT, even with the defection of Ricardo Monreal: 30,000 PT activists are defecting to the PRD, to protest corruption in the party.
Another piece of news that could be good for the PRD: Alejandro Encinas is launching his own PRD caucus. This could present headaches for Jesús Ortega, but it represents a better near-term outcome than Encinas heading elsewhere. In general, the hard-core leftists seem to be collectively hedging their bets about where the future of the hard-core Mexican left lies. AMLO seems more out of the PRD than in it these days, but Encinas, for years a close collaborator, is sticking around.
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