Heading into the final debate before next Sunday's election, Eruviel Ávila's lead is growing, according to El Universal: they give him 59 percent of the electorate, a five-point bump from last month. His lead has grown from 29 points to 32. All signs point to a big win, even if Bravo Meno bails and tries to shift his support to Encinas.
All of this has me thinking: how bad would Ávila have to screw up tonight's debate to lose the race? What is the worst thing he could say and still win? I bet he could express support for Gustavo Díaz Ordaz's presidency without losing. He might be able to mention his wealthy compas in the mountains of Sinaloa and still squeeze by. If he congratulates the US soccer team on their victory over Panama and wishes them good luck on Saturday night? That might be a bridge too far.