According to polling by Ulises Beltrán that appeared in Excélcior, 41 percent of Mexicans believe that the national economy is in crisis, while 55 percent believe it is merely passing through a difficult moment. Only 2 percent believe that the economy is strong. These numbers are moving in the wrong direction; the proportion was about 35-61 in December. Oddly, the expectations for 2009 have been improving in recent weeks: 45 percent think the economy will get better, against 33 who do not. The numbers were flipped in October: 25 thought would bring improvement to the economy against 55 who did not.
Consulta Mitofsky measured perception of public security improvements, and discovered that the public doesn't perceive much improvement: almost half of the respondents report seeing zero improvement in security since November. Nearly eight out of ten Mexicans say that either very little or nothing has been done to combat kidnapping. That's certainly not heartening, but as I've said before, measuring changes in security over such a short period of time is a futile exercise.
Lastly, Jorge Buendía has some polling (sorry, no links) measuring party preference ahead of the summer elections: 41 percent like the PRI, 37.9 would prefer the PAN, and 16.5 the PRD. Despite AMLO providing candidate lists to Convergencia and the Workers Party, the bottom has not fallen out of the PRD. Compared to 2006, the summer elections will be brutal for the PRD, but 16.5 is not much worse than other recent polling. Also notable is the strength of each party's support: of those who said they were really sure of their pick, 43 percent went for the PAN, compared to 38 for the PRI. For those whose support was somewhat strong, 47 were leaning toward the PRI compared to the PAN's 30. This suggests a certain volatility to the present picture.
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