More on Josefina, Santiago, and Ernesto

Mitofsky also has Vázquez Mota with a lead in the contest for PAN nomination, though with a mere four-point lead over Creel. Cordero checks in with just 7 percent of voter preferences, though this is before Lujambio, who had 10 percent, bowed out. Whatever the case, the road for Cordero looks impassable.

Ciro Gómez Leyva agrees, and described the options for the finance secretary as follows:

[Cordero] can kick aside the folder full of polls and come out shooting for the nomination with the probabilities severely against him. Or he can play his cards, which are significant, in favor of Creel or Josefina. If he and Emilio [González, the other remaining panista in the race] choose one of the two, the candidacy is defined. If they opt for Josefina, they will run over Creel two to one. And vice versa.