Friday, January 8, 2010

Under the Radar

Using info from the ubiquitous Edgardo Buscaglia, The Economist points out that for all the recent successes in attacking drug gangs, few of those arrested are associated with Chapo Guzmán. Buscaglia's data was new to me, but I've wondered the same thing in recent months. For whatever reason, despite that it's been a long time since I've heard or read much in the media about Calderón having a capo consentido.

Anyway, here's a highlight:

Officials insist there is no going back to the old practice in which Mexican governments turned a blind eye to drug gangs provided they acted discreetly. If Sinaloa has been hit less hard, it is because it operates differently. It has stuck to a “transactional” rather than “territorial” method, says one official. Other gangs, such as La Familia and the Zetas, a particularly violent outfit of former soldiers, began to control cities and diversify into extortion and kidnapping. When the government deploys troops to reclaim the streets, it is these gangs whom they run into.

Sinaloa, by contrast, has stuck to drugs and money laundering and is smarter and more sophisticated. It prefers anonymity to the ostentation of others (Mr Beltrán was undone by inviting a famous accordionist to play at a Christmas party). It eschews jobless teenagers, its rivals’ rank and file, in favour of graduates, infiltration and intelligence. Although all the gangs have penetrated local governments, only Sinaloa and the Beltráns have been discovered to have bribed senior officials. Officials complain that Sinaloa operatives receive warning of pending raids. Sceptics wonder whether success against other gangs comes from tip-offs from Sinaloa.

I'm not sure how true that is, since much of the violence in Juárez is attributed to Chapo's aggressive entry into the city, and the stories about big-time musicians playing for Chapo are legion. But it is interesting, in any event.

The article also includes an early nominee for the Monumental Understatement of the Year:
Some residents of Ciudad Juárez are growing restive over the government’s failure to stem the violence.
That sounds like something you would read about a moderately unruly city council meeting in suburban Charlotte, not a place where the murder rate is around 200 per 100,000 inhabitants.

(H/T)

4 comments:

malcolm beith said...

Buscaglia's comments appear off to me. Sinaloa cartel does recruit jobless young men from culiacan and elsewhere in sinaloa, i've met at least a dozen of them and some are now in jail. they are low-level though, is Buscaglia maybe arguing that these guys don't rise up in the Sinaloa organizations?
another thing: according to Milenio, 14,000 members of the Sinaloa cartel were arrested in the war on drugs between 2006 and early 2009. it's not as many as Gulf or Juarez, but if it's true (and unfortunately, its hard to verify) it's still one hell of a number.
i'm still suspicious of Chapo favoritism (or at very least, high-level infiltration that keeps him safe) but there does seem to be some proof that the authorities are going after Chapo's network as well, in spite of what the cynics (myself included, on occasion) say

pc said...

Yeah the generalizations seemed really sketchy. There might be a kernel of truth to the broader arguments, but he's saying that only 1.5 percent or so of those arrested are part of the biggest gang in the country, the gang that controls almost half of the market? That defies credulity. And defies the statistics put forward by Milenio as you mention, and the government too.

RE chapo favoritism, when was the last time a big shot from his gang was brought down? I think I remember a lieutenant being killed in Durango like in May, but I dont remember hearing about anyone else. It's been mostly Zetas, the Family, and more recently the Beltran Leyvas since then.

malcolm beith said...

between may and late august, more than a handful of chapo's people were arrested, including one really key guy (roberto burgos, el doctor). that was on the heels of that big DEA op, operation xcellerator, where they got 755 or whatever sinaloa guys in the US. also, everyone big in the Zambada family but El Mayo has been caught.
then it petered out (and at same time, la familia suddenly became a big DEA target)
since august, i don't know of anyone important in chapo's organization who's been caught. i'm not sure i buy the "protecting chapo" talk, but given how the intelligence/informant game works in mexico, i think he definitely has a hand in selling out the other organizations. also, one thing that definitely appears to be the case is that if there is no US pressure to catch chapo's people, mexico won't do it. it just isn't worth the repercussions.

pc said...

Forgot about the doctor. RE Operation Xcellerator, it was never clear to me whether those were really Chapo's agents or Americans who bought their drugs from Sinaloa suppliers.

RE protecting Chapo, it seems completely plausible that they are focusing their limited resources on other gangs, rather than actively protecting him.