Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Election Perceptions
According to Mitofsky, 27 percent of Mexicans say that the PAN was the big loser on July 5, compared to 15 percent for the PRD. Sixty-seven percent said that the PRI was the big winner, compared to a slightly blind 15 percent who said the PAN was the day's victor, and 5 percent who said the same about the PRD. Among those who believe the biggest loser was AMLO, Marcelo, and the gang: Felipe Calderón. In fact, he said so in front of an audience in Uruguay, which would certainly be a taboo injection of partisan politics in a foreign setting in the US, but has sparked no great outcry here.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
3 comments:
I want to meet some of the five percent who thought the PRD was the big winner. Were they watching the same election as everyone else?
The PRD, despite its humongous problems -- and the tendency among the Mexican left to form a circular firing squad -- really is no worse off than it ever was. 2006 was something of a fluke, and it's still about 12 to 15 percent of the electorate, same as it was before AMLOmania took over.
There's two reasons Calderon's sniping at AMLO didn't make the news. First (if you read the AMLOista press) is that there is some validity to claims that the "mainstream media" avoids giving the guy any attention. The second is that opinion-makers are already writing off Calderon's political statements as less relevant now that he's a lame duck.
The PRD got almost 18 percent in 2003, right? I agree that AMLO's popularity made for some braod coattails in 2006, but going from 18 to 12, ie losing almost a third of the support from one election to another, is a pretty tough gut shot.
I'm guessing the 5 percent were all relatives of Clara Brugada.
Post a Comment