- there remains a deep mistrust of the PRI among a huge sector of the country, and Peña Nieto didn't (or couldn't) do enough to assuage the latent fears of his party.
- voters' memories are short, and a dedicated (though less than 100 percent consistent) effort to change one's image can wipe away past perceptions. I've spent the last several years referring to AMLO as the politician with the highest negative views in the country, and for good reason: indeed he was said figure. And while AMLO remains a highly controversial figure, the negative perceptions have largely been wiped away.
Thursday, June 7, 2012
Switching to AMLO
I've recently talked to a lot of acquaintances in Mexico who have made the same basic calculation--AMLO is better than Peña Nieto, and Vázquez Mota is a disaster. Therefore, they are planning to pull the lever for AMLO. For the most part, these are people who were staunch Calderón supporters, so to put it mildly, this was unexpected. It's a decision I think is logically flawed, for reasons I'll explain another time, but it's clearly something that is widespread, and there are some lessons (for me anyway) to be learned from AMLO's surge, even if it is unlikely to vault him to victory. Among them: