From InSight Crime,
here's a two-
parter on the impact of the election on crime policy. Highlights:
For a number of reasons, the organized crime issue is a pickle for
policy-makers: broadly speaking, Calderon’s policies are popular, but
their results -- more than 50,000 deaths over the past six years, and a
doubling of the murder rate -- have been disastrous. Worse still, the
links between Calderon’s strategy and the increased bloodshed are
indirect and unclear. That is, radical changes to Calderon’s approach
carry a definite political risk, but there is no certainty that they
would bring about lower murder rates.
Consequently, the Calderon administration’s approach will likely
continue to feature over the next six years. Should he win, Peña Nieto
will surely seek some cosmetic changes, and he may push the philosophy
underlying Mexico’s crime strategy in a new direction. But the
obstacles to a different approach are enormous; as a result, for better
or worse, the shifts are likely to be marginal.
And
here's a piece on a misguided attempt to ban narcomantas:
The rise of the manta is a consequence of changes in Mexico’s
criminal environment over the past few years. One is that the
territorial dominance of criminal groups is typically far less stable
-- making them far more violent -- than in the past. Many of the common
uses of the manta -- from denouncing a new police chief to announcing a criminal group's arrival in a city
-- reflect gangs’ responses to changing dynamics. In a more static
landscape, such public relations gambits on the part of criminals would
not be necessary.
The increase in mantas also demonstrates the degree to which the
civilian population has emerged as a terrain for conflict between
gangs. While a decade ago, organized crime was centered almost
exclusively on the drug trade, today extracting revenue from the
population through extortion and kidnapping is far more common. As a
consequence, mantas frequently urge the civilian population to refuse
to make extortion payments, in order to hurt their rivals' income
stream. In contested cities, groups often use mantas to try to show
themselves in a better light than their competitors, often claiming not
to kidnap, extort, rob, or carry out other criminal activities that
prey on civilians.
Mantas are also the favored medium of communication when a group
wants to distance itself from a particularly notorious crime and avoid a
government crackdown. The Gulf Cartel, for instance, used a manta to deny responsibility for the murder of Juan Francisco Sicilia, son of a famous writer turned peace activist, while the Zetas hung mantas to distance themselves from 49 mutilated bodies discovered in Nuevo Leon last month.
Finally, here are a couple of pieces from Este País
about the Euro (the currency, not the tournament, though I might have preferred the latter topic) and recent reports regarding the
prevalence of jailhouse rape in the US. Highlights of the latter:
Esta creencia que los criminales merecen sufrir es entendible, pero
muy equivocada. La primera razón es moral: por más mala que sea una
persona, nadie debería sufrir tal desgracia. El castigo que se le impone
a un convicto es tiempo en la cárcel, no la violación, y al ignorar
este problema, la sociedad se convierte en un cómplice.
Para los que no les convence este argumento, es claro que todos
tenemos un interés más directo en prevenir estos tipos de ataques: la
gran mayoría de los que viven tras rejas van a volver a la sociedad en
el futuro, y las personas que son abusadas repetidamente son más
propensas a llevar trastornos antisociales y violentos. Entre más
fregados deje a los convictos su experiencia tras rejas, más daño harán
al acabar su sentencia. Y de ahí, se vislumbra un ciclo vicioso: los
ex-reos vuelven a cometer crímenes, regresan a la cárcel, donde vuelven a
ser violados o donde se convierten en los victimarios, dejando una
nueva generación de convictos victimados.
Finalmente, si queremos que la cárcel sea una rehabilitación además
de un castigo, deberíamos hacer más para que la cárcel no sea un
infierno en el cual un reo no se puede recuperar.
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